Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 25

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday


	Melhus		Verdal

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.75	2.55
	2.12	4.59	2.33
	2.03	3.92	2.85
	2.05	4.75	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.73)	4.5 ↑ (4.43)	2.57 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melhus
44.2%

Draw
20.3%

Verdal
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

20.4%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

19.7%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melhus's form might have worsened.

Verdal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Verdal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melhus than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melhus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verdal than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Verdal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Melhus - Verdal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Troen T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Ramlo M. ⚽,
69', 3 - 0, Hegerberg I. ⚽,
83', 4 - 0, Rishaug L. E. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Melhus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Verdal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melhus won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Melhus won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melhus IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
05.10.24	Mosjøen - Melhus	3:3 ✺
29.09.24	Melhus - Rana	1:4 ✺
21.09.24	Byåsen - Melhus	1:2 ✺
16.09.24	Rosenborg II - Melhus	1:2 ✺
09.09.24	Melhus - Trygg Lade	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TLWWW
- Verdal IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
05.10.24	Verdal - Tiller	1:3 ✺
28.09.24	Trygg Lade - Verdal	2:1 ✺
23.09.24	Verdal - Rosenborg II	0:0 ✺
17.09.24	Verdal - Stabæk 2	3:2 ✺
07.09.24	Rana - Verdal	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
11.05.24	Verdal - Melhus	1:4
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
26.10.19	Melhus - Verdal	1:0
27.04.19	Verdal - Melhus	2:3
06.10.18	Verdal - Melhus	1:0
16.06.18	Melhus - Verdal	0:1

Melhus - Verdal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide