Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 5

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)


	Melilla		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	3
	2.55	3	2.8	Watch
	2.61	2.98	2.94
	2.55	3	2.81
	2.37	2.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.6)	2.99 ↓ (3)	2.9 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
37.1%

Draw
31%

Algeciras
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

30.5%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Melilla - Algeciras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montoya J. (G) 12. Hernandez D. 19. Rodriguez M. 16. Caro J. 15. Martin D. 8. Cotan A. 6. Martin A. 18. Siddiki O. 10. Gonzalez J. (C) 17. Perez S. 20. Garcia D.	13. Garcia L. (G) 2. Roldan R. 23. Rodriguez J. 15. Diori Y. 11. Sanchez T. 10. Esteban Diego 4. Fernandez B. 6. Montes E. 17. Martin D. 20. Garcia M. 8. Turrillo I. (C)
Substitutes
23. Cantarero O. 7. Garcia M. 22. Gnali J. 21. Hernandez J. 9. Jose Enrique 14. Marchena A. 5. Masogo A. 2. Pepe Romero 13. Salcedo J. (G) 24. Serrano J. (G) 4. Suarez D. 11. Vinicius Tanque 3. Yuste A.	18. Amorrortu I. 9. Cueto J. 19. Illesca M. 1. Lavin M. (G) 16. Lopez A. 29. Pimienta 22. Sardinero A. 3. Vicente A. 7. Zequi

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Algeciras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.09.23	Melilla - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
10.09.23	Mérida AD - Melilla	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	Melilla - Castellón	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Melilla	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.23	Melilla - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLLTW
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.09.23	Algeciras - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Granada B - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Algeciras - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
27.08.23	Atlético Baleares - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Algeciras - Vélez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.09.20	Algeciras - Melilla	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.01.16	Melilla - Algeciras	1:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.09.15	Melilla - Algeciras	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.08.15	Algeciras - Melilla	1:0
16.03.14	Melilla - Algeciras	1:0
30.10.13	Algeciras - Melilla	0:0

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