Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, Television Melilla


	Melilla		Recreativo Huelva

	1	X	2
	2.42	3	2.72
	2.99	2.85	2.61
	2.54	3.08	2.72	Watch
	2.47	2.95	2.73
	2.54	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.5)	2.98 ↓ (3)	2.71 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
35.4%

Draw
30.8%

Recreativo Huelva
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

29.3%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Recreativo Huelva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Melilla - Recreativo Huelva Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Melilla (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Melilla (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melilla won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Melilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Melilla won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Melilla won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.12.25	Almeria B - Melilla	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Melilla - Estepona	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Puente Genil - Melilla	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Lorca Deportiva - Melilla	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Melilla - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWTLT
- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.12.25	Recreativo Huelva - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Recreativo Huelva - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Xerez Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Recreativo Huelva - Águilas	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Jaén - Recreativo Huelva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.02.24	Recreativo Huelva - Melilla	2:0
17.09.23	Melilla - Recreativo Huelva	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.04.19	Melilla - Recreativo Huelva	1:1
18.11.18	Recreativo Huelva - Melilla	0:1
11.03.18	Recreativo Huelva - Melilla	0:2
22.10.17	Melilla - Recreativo Huelva	1:0
23.04.17	Recreativo Huelva - Melilla	1:1

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