Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)


	Melilla		Atlético Malagueño

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.2	3.11	3.39
	2.18	3.01	3.30	Watch
	2.12	3.2	3.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.18)	3.11 ↑ (3.01)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
42.9%

Draw
29.6%

Atlético Malagueño
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.4%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

26.2%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Atlético Malagueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Malagueño than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Melilla - Atlético Malagueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Chavarria M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Hernandez Molina J. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 1, Iglesias J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Melilla will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.10.25	Real Jaén - Melilla	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Melilla - Xerez CD	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	La Unión - Melilla	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Melilla - Minera	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Melilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLTL
- Atlético Malagueño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.10.25	Atlético Malagueño - Estepona	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Antoniano - Atlético Malagueño	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Atlético Malagueño - Puente Genil	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Xerez Deportivo - Atlético Malagueño	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Atlético Malagueño - Almeria B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTTL

Melilla - Atlético Malagueño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide