Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 11

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)


	Melilla		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.6	6
	1.47	3.85	7.4
	1.48	3.75	6
	1.48	3.9	7.3
	1.47	3.74	6.85
	1.49	3.8	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)	3.77 ↑ (3.5)	6.63 ↓ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
61.9%

Draw
24.2%

Don Benito
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

25.6%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

23.4%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Melilla - Don Benito Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Melilla will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Don Benito will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Melilla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Don Benito is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Melilla is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.11.22	Gimnástica Segoviana - Melilla	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Melilla - Estepona	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Atlético Madrid B - Melilla	0:0 ✺
16.10.22	Melilla - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
12.10.22	San Roque de Lepe - Melilla	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTTWL
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.11.22	Don Benito - Navalcarnero	2:4 ✺
29.10.22	Alcorcón B - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Don Benito - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:1 ✺
16.10.22	Montijo - Don Benito	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Don Benito - Coria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.03.21	Melilla - Don Benito	1:1
06.12.20	Don Benito - Melilla	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.02.19	Don Benito - Melilla	0:0
07.10.18	Melilla - Don Benito	3:0

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