Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 36

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday


	Atlético Madrid B		Melilla

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.2	5
	1.53	3.7	5.25
	1.66	3.75	4.75
	1.62	3.85	5.31
	1.63	3.82	5.25
	1.63	3.47	5.6
	1.64	3.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.65)	3.6 ↑ (3.23)	5.19 ↓ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
56.7%

Draw
25.6%

Melilla
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

28.3%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

26.7%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Atlético Madrid B - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Iturbe A. (G) 27. Bonar J. 3. Moreno M. 4. Gomez M. 14. Arumi J. 7. Bri D. 10. Calatrava A. 8. Mini 6. Ndiaye Dione A. 11. El Jebari S. 17. Nino A.	13. Salcedo J. (G) 2. Loren 19. Rodriguez M. 16. Caro J. 12. Macias A. 20. Garcia D. 3. Yuste A. 5. Selasi R. 4. Suarez D. 7. Morillo V. 18. Siddiki O.
Substitutes
18. Aguilar Lopez G. 2. Halhal R. 5. Kostis I. 15. Martinez D. 19. Mestanza A. 24. Mestre S. (G) 22. Perez P. 21. Raihani A. 9. Touaizi N.	22. Alassan A. 11. Bandaogo A. 10. Gonzalez J. 6. Hernandez P. 9. Jose Enrique 15. Kavtaradze B. 21. Mateo J. 1. Montoya J. (G) 23. Niang M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Arumi J. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
46', El Jebari S. ↓, Mestanza A. ↑,
46', Nino A. ↓, Touaizi N. ↑,
50', Selasi R. 🟨,
56', Caro J. 🟨,
61', Garcia D. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
61', Selasi R. ↓, Cotan A. ↑,
69', Yuste A. 🟨,
71', Calatrava A. ↓, Raihani A. ↑,
71', Moreno M. ↓, Kostis I. ↑,
75', Yuste A. ↓, Alassan A. ↑,
75', Morillo V. ↓, Bandaogo A. ↑,
83', Mestanza A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Melilla is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid B won 0.

Atlético Madrid B is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Melilla is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Atlético Madrid B is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Madrid B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.05.24	Linares Deportivo - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Atlético Madrid B - Algeciras	3:1 ✺
21.04.24	Ibiza - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Atlético Madrid B - Málaga	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Atlético Madrid B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWWLW
- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.05.24	Melilla - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Castellón - Melilla	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Melilla - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Real Murcia - Melilla	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Ibiza - Melilla	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.11.23	Melilla - Atlético Madrid B	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.03.23	Melilla - Atlético Madrid B	2:0
23.10.22	Atlético Madrid B - Melilla	0:0
16.05.21	Melilla - Atlético Madrid B	3:0
05.05.21	Atlético Madrid B - Melilla	0:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.12.19	Melilla - Atlético Madrid B	0:1
Club Friendly
17.08.18	Melilla - Atlético Madrid B	1:2

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