Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla) 🌤️ ...


	Melilla		Mancha Real

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	4	3	2.05
	3	3.05	2.21
	3.03	2.98	2.5
	2.88	3.13	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.44)	3.05 ↑ (2.89)	2.27 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
29%

Draw
30.2%

Mancha Real
40.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.2%

31.2%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

31.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Mancha Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	9.1%	45.5%

Melilla - Mancha Real Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Melilla will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Mancha Real will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melilla: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).

Melilla is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Mancha Real is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Mancha Real is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Melilla won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.05.22	Águilas - Melilla	0:1 ✺
01.05.22	Melilla - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	Melilla - Real Murcia	2:2 ✺
17.04.22	Hércules - Melilla	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Melilla - Eldense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WWTTW
- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.05.22	Mancha Real - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
01.05.22	Hércules - Mancha Real	3:1 ✺
24.04.22	Mancha Real - Eldense	0:1 ✺
17.04.22	La Nucía - Mancha Real	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	Mancha Real - El Ejido	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.01.22	Mancha Real - Melilla	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.05.17	Melilla - Mancha Real	1:2
18.12.16	Mancha Real - Melilla	0:0

Melilla - Mancha Real