Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Melilla		Calvo Sotelo Puertollano

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.1	7.75
	1.4	4.4	7.75
	1.36	4.2	7.2
	1.37	4.3	6.66
	2.72	3	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.72)	4 ↑ (3)	6.4 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
60%

Draw
24.6%

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

30.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

31.2%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melilla's performance.

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calvo Sotelo Puertollano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-26.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calvo Sotelo Puertollano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melilla - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Melilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Calvo Sotelo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Melilla is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Melilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.04.22	Melilla - Real Murcia	2:2 ✺
17.04.22	Hércules - Melilla	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Melilla - Eldense	3:2 ✺
03.04.22	La Nucía - Melilla	2:0 ✺
30.03.22	Socuéllamos - Melilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWLL
- Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.04.22	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Alzira	1:3 ✺
17.04.22	Real Murcia - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	3:1 ✺
10.04.22	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Racing Cartagena MM	4:0 ✺
03.04.22	Hércules - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:1 ✺
27.03.22	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Intercity	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.12.21	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Melilla	1:0

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