Match Info

Date: 8 May 2022, Sunday


	Mancha Real		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.87	2.37
	3	3	2.45
	2.75	2.75	2.6
	2.88	2.79	2.79
	2.8	2.88	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (2.94)	2.86 ↓ (2.88)	2.57 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mancha Real
32.1%

Draw
32.2%

Real Murcia
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

31.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

31.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mancha Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+2%)

Mancha Real - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Mancha Real is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Murcia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mancha Real won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Mancha Real won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.05.22	Hércules - Mancha Real	3:1 ✺
24.04.22	Mancha Real - Eldense	0:1 ✺
17.04.22	La Nucía - Mancha Real	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	Mancha Real - El Ejido	1:0 ✺
02.04.22	Levante B - Mancha Real	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLTWT
- Real Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.05.22	Real Murcia - Águilas	1:0 ✺
24.04.22	Melilla - Real Murcia	2:2 ✺
17.04.22	Real Murcia - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	3:1 ✺
10.04.22	Real Murcia - Hércules	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Eldense - Real Murcia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.12.21	Real Murcia - Mancha Real	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.04.17	Real Murcia - Mancha Real	3:1
13.11.16	Mancha Real - Real Murcia	3:1

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