Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)


	Melilla		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.6	2.6
	2.8	2.7	2.5
	2.9	2.85	2.6
	3.13	2.77	2.66
	3.13	2.75	2.66
	3	2.82	2.58
	2.95	2.65	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.9)	2.73 ↓ (2.88)	2.59 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
30.9%

Draw
33.6%

Real Murcia
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

31.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

30.2%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Melilla - Real Murcia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Murcia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montoya J. (G) 12. Hernandez D. 19. Rodriguez M. 3. Yuste A. 15. Martin D. 18. Siddiki O. 11. Bandaogo A. 10. Gonzalez J. 4. Suarez D. 20. Garcia D. 9. Jose Enrique	1. Garcia M. (G) 2. Ruiz J. 16. Rofino V. G. 4. Mauro M. 3. Baro M. 14. Leon P. 23. Alonso I. 8. Larrea P. 21. Pina Tomas 18. Rojas C. 9. Rodri
Substitutes
16. Caro J. 8. Cotan A. 7. Garcia M. 22. Gnali J. 6. Hernandez P. 14. Marchena A. 5. Masogo A. 21. Mateo J. 23. Niang M. 2. Pepe Romero 17. Perez S. 13. Salcedo J. (G)	33. Carmona M. 32. Coto E. 24. Gianni Cassaro (G) 7. Gomez I. 6. Gonzalez A. 26. Lopez A. 22. Molina A. 25. Rubio A. 17. Vega D. 36. Yeboah D.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melilla won 0.

Recent matches Melilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Murcia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.01.24	Granada B - Melilla	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Melilla - Linares Deportivo	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Melilla	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Melilla - Eibar	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.12.23	Melilla - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLLL
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.01.24	Real Murcia - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.12.23	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	3:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.23	Castellón - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Real Murcia - Antequera	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	Recreativo Huelva - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.08.22	Real Murcia - Melilla	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.04.22	Melilla - Real Murcia	2:2
05.12.21	Real Murcia - Melilla	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.05.19	Real Murcia - Melilla	2:0
22.12.18	Melilla - Real Murcia	1:2
28.01.18	Real Murcia - Melilla	0:1
10.09.17	Melilla - Real Murcia	0:0

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