Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 18

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV


	Melilla		Tenerife B

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.75
	2.5	2.85	2.65
	2.55	2.95	2.75
	2.55	3.08	2.69
	2.58	2.96	2.74
	2.55	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.81)	2.95 ↓ (3.09)	2.72 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
35.7%

Draw
30.9%

Tenerife B
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29.5%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

30.1%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Tenerife B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife B than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tenerife B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melilla - Tenerife B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Alonso J. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Morillo V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 3 - 0, Morillo V. ⚽,
67', 3 - 1, Guzman C. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Melilla is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tenerife B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Melilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Melilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.12.24	Atlético Paso - Melilla	2:3 ✺
15.12.24	Melilla - Colonia Moscardó	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Móstoles URJC - Melilla	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Melilla - Getafe B	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Navalcarnero - Melilla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWTT
- Tenerife B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.01.25	Tenerife B - Atlético Paso	3:2 ✺
22.12.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Tenerife B	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Tenerife B - Unión Sur Yaiza	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Colonia Moscardó - Tenerife B	0:4 ✺
24.11.24	Tenerife B - Real Madrid C	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.08.24	Tenerife B - Melilla	3:1

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