Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 10

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Memmingen		Bayreuth

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.4	2.82
	1.98	3.65	3.52
	2.24	3.32	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.39)	3.46 ↑ (3.3)	3.06 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Memmingen
42.8%

Draw
26.9%

Bayreuth
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.7%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.2%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Memmingen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memmingen than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Memmingen - Bayreuth Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Winklbauer T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 1, Schmidt T. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Memmingen won 0.

Memmingen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bayreuth is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bayreuth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Memmingen won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Memmingen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.5:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Memmingen
German Regionalliga Bayern
20.09.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Memmingen	1:3 ✺
12.09.25	Memmingen - Buchbach	1:1 ✺
09.09.25	Memmingen - Illertissen	3:2 ✺
05.09.25	Hankofen-Hailing - Memmingen	0:4 ✺
29.08.25	Memmingen - Bayern Munich II	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWWL
- SpVgg Bayreuth
German Regionalliga Bayern
19.09.25	Bayreuth - Greuther Fürth II	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Bayreuth - Eichstätt	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Bayreuth	2:2 ✺
29.08.25	Bayreuth - Buchbach	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Bayern Munich II - Bayreuth	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
11.11.23	Memmingen - Bayreuth	1:2
04.08.23	Bayreuth - Memmingen	2:1
18.03.22	Memmingen - Bayreuth	0:3
28.08.21	Bayreuth - Memmingen	2:1
16.11.19	Bayreuth - Memmingen	4:0
23.07.19	Memmingen - Bayreuth	2:3
02.11.18	Memmingen - Bayreuth	0:2

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