Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 30

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Vanspor		Bucaspor 1928

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	7.25
	1.42	4.3	7
	1.41	4.08	7.36
	1.39	4.05	7.5
	1.42	4.3	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.9)	4.19 ↑ (3.28)	7.22 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanspor
65.4%

Draw
21.9%

Bucaspor 1928
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

27.7%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vanspor's performance.

Bucaspor 1928 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bucaspor 1928 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vanspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bucaspor 1928 than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bucaspor 1928 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vanspor - Bucaspor 1928 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Bucaspor 1928 (4.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Bucaspor 1928 (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Vanspor (1.68) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vanspor (votes: 1 - 25%). Bucaspor 1928 (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Eken O. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Akcan E. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Bilal H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 4 - 0, Eken O. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Vanspor is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vanspor won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Vanspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanspor FK
Turkish Second League Red Group
02.04.25	Vanspor - Arnavutköy	1:1 ✺
26.03.25	Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor	6:2 ✺
22.03.25	Vanspor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Somaspor - Vanspor	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Vanspor - Ankara Demirspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWWT
- Bucaspor 1928
Turkish Second League Red Group
02.04.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Nazillispor	4:1 ✺
22.03.25	Derince Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	2:3 ✺
15.03.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Karaman Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Bucaspor 1928	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
23.11.24	Bucaspor 1928 - Vanspor	2:4
Turkish Second League White Group
14.01.24	Vanspor - Bucaspor 1928	1:0
27.08.23	Bucaspor 1928 - Vanspor	0:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
07.05.23	Vanspor - Bucaspor 1928	0:1
03.12.22	Bucaspor 1928 - Vanspor	0:1

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