Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	Mensajero		Vélez

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.8	2.85
	2.7	2.8	2.6
	2.47	2.85	2.8
	2.67	2.86	2.94
	2.53	3.05	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.7)	2.87 ↑ (2.8)	2.8 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
35.6%

Draw
31.8%

Vélez
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

32.1%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

33.5%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Vélez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Mensajero - Vélez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Recent matches Mensajero is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vélez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.04.22	Ceuta - Mensajero	2:0 ✺
10.04.22	Mensajero - Panadería Pulido	3:1 ✺
03.04.22	Las Palmas B - Mensajero	2:1 ✺
30.03.22	Mensajero - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
27.03.22	Mensajero - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLTW
- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.04.22	Vélez - UD San Fernando	3:0 ✺
10.04.22	Tamaraceite - Vélez	1:2 ✺
03.04.22	Vélez - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
27.03.22	Coria - Vélez	0:1 ✺
20.03.22	Vélez - Cadiz CF B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.12.21	Vélez - Mensajero	3:0

Mensajero - Vélez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide