Match Info

Date: 27 March 2022, Sunday


	Mensajero		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.75	2
	3.65	2.9	2.07
	3.65	2.9	2.03
	3.75	2.78	2.06
	3.8	2.96	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.54)	2.86 ↑ (2.85)	2.05 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
24.1%

Draw
31.7%

Mérida AD
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

32.1%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

31.6%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Mensajero - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Mensajero is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mérida AD is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mensajero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Mensajero have a series of guest games.

Mérida AD will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.03.22	Villanovense - Mensajero	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Córdoba - Mensajero	3:1 ✺
27.02.22	Mensajero - San Roque de Lepe	0:0 ✺
20.02.22	Antequera - Mensajero	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Montijo - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TLTTT
- Mérida AD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.03.22	Mérida AD - UD San Fernando	4:1 ✺
13.03.22	Tamaraceite - Mérida AD	0:3 ✺
06.03.22	Mérida AD - Don Benito	3:0 ✺
27.02.22	Coria - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Mérida AD - Cadiz CF B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.11.21	Mérida AD - Mensajero	1:1

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