Match Info

Date: 17 April 2022, Sunday


	Ceuta		Mensajero

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.6	6
	1.46	3.75	6.75
	1.48	3.65	6.2
	1.49	3.91	7.46
	1.49	3.82	6.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)	3.75 ↑ (3.4)	6.62 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
61.7%

Draw
24.5%

Mensajero
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

26.7%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

27.8%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Ceuta - Mensajero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Ceuta is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.04.22	UD San Fernando - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Ceuta - Tamaraceite	2:2 ✺
27.03.22	Don Benito - Ceuta	0:2 ✺
20.03.22	Ceuta - Coria	3:1 ✺
13.03.22	Cadiz CF B - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWWL
- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.04.22	Mensajero - Panadería Pulido	3:1 ✺
03.04.22	Las Palmas B - Mensajero	2:1 ✺
30.03.22	Mensajero - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
27.03.22	Mensajero - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
20.03.22	Villanovense - Mensajero	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.11.21	Mensajero - Ceuta	1:3

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