Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Hansch-Arena (Meppen)

Referee: Winter N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Meppen		Bayreuth

	1	X	2
	1.8	4	3.8
	1.85	3.7	3.8
	1.8	3.9	3.65
	1.85	3.75	3.8
	1.84	3.93	4.21
	1.8	3.5	3.75
	1.8	3.88	3.9	Watch
	1.83	3.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.99)	3.8 ↑ (3.48)	3.84 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meppen
51.2%

Draw
24.5%

Bayreuth
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

26.4%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

25.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meppen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Meppen's performance.

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meppen than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	18.7%	12.5%

Meppen - Bayreuth Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Meppen will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Bayreuth will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Meppen: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Meppen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bayreuth is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Meppen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Meppen will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Meppen
German 3 Bundesliga
30.09.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Meppen	3:0 ✺
17.09.22	Meppen - Viktoria Köln	2:2 ✺
12.09.22	Verl - Meppen	2:2 ✺
04.09.22	Meppen - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
26.08.22	Hallescher - Meppen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTTT
- SpVgg Bayreuth
German 3 Bundesliga
01.10.22	Bayreuth - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Oldenburg - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Bayreuth - Saarbrücken	0:6 ✺
03.09.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Bayreuth	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Bayreuth - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLLT

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