Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion (Bayreuth)

Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Bayreuth		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	5	3.8	1.66
	4.6	3.9	1.66
	4.6	4	1.6
	4.7	3.85	1.65
	5.16	4.37	1.65
	4.75	3.6	1.6
	4.8	4.05	1.63	Watch
	4.6	3.8	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (3.67)	3.92 ↑ (3.49)	1.64 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayreuth
19.5%

Draw
23.7%

Dynamo Dresden
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

26.4%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

25.4%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayreuth's form might have worsened.

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Dresden's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Dresden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Bayreuth - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Users Predictions: Dynamo Dresden will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Bayreuth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dynamo Dresden is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Dynamo Dresden is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Bayreuth
German 3 Bundesliga
17.09.22	Oldenburg - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Bayreuth - Saarbrücken	0:6 ✺
03.09.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Bayreuth	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Bayreuth - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
22.08.22	Zwickau - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLTL
- Dynamo Dresden
German 3 Bundesliga
17.09.22	Dynamo Dresden - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Duisburg - Dynamo Dresden	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Dynamo Dresden - Borussia Dortmund II	3:0 ✺
28.08.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWWL

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