Match Info

Date: 30 September 2022, Friday

Location: Sparkassen-Erzgebirgsstadion (Aue)

Referee: Sather A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Erzgebirge Aue		Meppen

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.6
	2.1	3.4	3.3
	2.05	3.3	3.4
	2.1	3.35	3.3
	2.14	3.6	3.54
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.02	3.54	3.42	Watch
	2.07	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.05)	3.37 ↑ (3.36)	3.38 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Erzgebirge Aue
44.9%

Draw
27.6%

Meppen
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Meppen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meppen than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	33.3%	23.8%

Erzgebirge Aue - Meppen Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Meppen will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 21.7% – 64.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Aue has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Meppen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aue will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
16.09.22	1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue	3:1 ✺
11.09.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Zwickau	0:1 ✺
02.09.22	Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- SV Meppen
German 3 Bundesliga
17.09.22	Meppen - Viktoria Köln	2:2 ✺
12.09.22	Verl - Meppen	2:2 ✺
04.09.22	Meppen - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
26.08.22	Hallescher - Meppen	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Meppen - Duisburg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTTL

Upcoming Matches