Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Marschweg-Stadion (Oldenburg)

Referee: Schwengers P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Oldenburg		Bayreuth

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.75	3.6
	1.87	3.7	3.75
	1.8	3.6	3.95
	1.9	3.65	3.65
	1.88	3.86	4.08
	1.83	3.4	3.7
	1.82	3.84	3.84	Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.32)	3.68 ↑ (3.53)	3.77 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldenburg
50.2%

Draw
25.2%

Bayreuth
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

25.2%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oldenburg's performance.

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayreuth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oldenburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayreuth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Oldenburg - Bayreuth Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Oldenburg will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Bayreuth will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oldenburg: 59.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Oldenburg is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bayreuth is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Oldenburg is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
10.09.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Oldenburg	1:2 ✺
03.09.22	Oldenburg - Osnabrück	4:3 ✺
29.08.22	Duisburg - Oldenburg	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Oldenburg - Verl	1:0 ✺
12.08.22	Hallescher - Oldenburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWTWL
- SpVgg Bayreuth
German 3 Bundesliga
10.09.22	Bayreuth - Saarbrücken	0:6 ✺
03.09.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Bayreuth	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Bayreuth - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
22.08.22	Zwickau - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
13.08.22	Bayreuth - Osnabrück	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTLW

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