Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 17

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Hansch-Arena (Meppen)

Referee: Winter N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport, NDR


	Meppen		Osnabrück

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.1
	3	3.4	2.2
	3.15	3.3	2.14
	3.05	3.4	2.2
	3.07	3.8	2.25
	3	3.25	2.15
	3.04	3.6	2.16	Watch
	3	3.35	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.94)	3.44 ↓ (3.5)	2.17 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meppen
30.4%

Draw
26.9%

Osnabrück
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

26.4%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

25.5%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meppen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meppen than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	72.7%	9.1%

Meppen - Osnabrück Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Meppen will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Osnabrück will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Meppen won 0.

Meppen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Osnabrück is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Meppen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Osnabrück will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Meppen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Meppen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Meppen
German 3 Bundesliga
09.11.22	Rot-Weiß Essen - Meppen	0:0 ✺
04.11.22	Meppen - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:3 ✺
29.10.22	Saarbrücken - Meppen	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Meppen - Borussia Dortmund II	0:2 ✺
15.10.22	Ingolstadt - Meppen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTLL
- VfL Osnabrück
German 3 Bundesliga
09.11.22	Osnabrück - Verl	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Zwickau - Osnabrück	4:3 ✺
31.10.22	Osnabrück - Hallescher	3:2 ✺
22.10.22	Elversberg - Osnabrück	4:1 ✺
15.10.22	Osnabrück - 1860 München	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
26.02.22	Meppen - Osnabrück	0:1
18.09.21	Osnabrück - Meppen	1:0
26.01.19	Osnabrück - Meppen	1:0
05.08.18	Meppen - Osnabrück	0:2
06.03.18	Osnabrück - Meppen	2:2
20.09.17	Meppen - Osnabrück	1:0

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