Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Audi Sportpark (Ingolstadt)

Referee: Hildenbrand M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Ingolstadt		Meppen

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.8	5
	1.65	3.9	4.75
	1.65	3.85	4.4
	1.65	3.85	4.7
	1.67	4.22	4.99
	1.62	3.6	4.6
	1.63	4.1	4.7	Watch
	1.64	3.85	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.65)	3.9 ↑ (3.86)	4.73 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
56.6%

Draw
23.8%

Meppen
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

24.1%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

23%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Meppen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meppen than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Ingolstadt - Meppen Predictions

Users Predictions: Ingolstadt will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 15).

Recent matches Ingolstadt is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Meppen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Meppen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ingolstadt is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
08.10.22	1860 München - Ingolstadt	1:2 ✺
03.10.22	Ingolstadt - Zwickau	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Dynamo Dresden - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Ingolstadt - Waldhof Mannheim	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Freiburg II - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTTWL
- SV Meppen
German 3 Bundesliga
08.10.22	Meppen - Bayreuth	0:1 ✺
30.09.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Meppen	3:0 ✺
17.09.22	Meppen - Viktoria Köln	2:2 ✺
12.09.22	Verl - Meppen	2:2 ✺
04.09.22	Meppen - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
18.04.21	Ingolstadt - Meppen	0:0
30.11.20	Meppen - Ingolstadt	2:0
28.06.20	Meppen - Ingolstadt	0:2
01.12.19	Ingolstadt - Meppen	1:1

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