Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Hansch-Arena (Meppen)

Referee: Jurgensen L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Meppen		Borussia Dortmund II

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.62
	2.35	3.4	2.85
	2.2	3.4	2.95
	2.35	3.4	2.75
	2.44	3.65	2.87
	2.25	3.2	2.8
	2.31	3.52	2.84	Watch
	2.37	3.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.04)	3.4 ↓ (3.57)	2.8 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meppen
39.7%

Draw
27.2%

Borussia Dortmund II
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

26%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

25.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meppen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Meppen's form might have worsened.

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meppen than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Meppen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borussia Dortmund II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Meppen - Borussia Dortmund II Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Meppen will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia Dortmund II: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 and 15).

Meppen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Borussia Dortmund II is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Meppen will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Meppen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Meppen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Meppen
German 3 Bundesliga
15.10.22	Ingolstadt - Meppen	3:1 ✺
08.10.22	Meppen - Bayreuth	0:1 ✺
30.09.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Meppen	3:0 ✺
17.09.22	Meppen - Viktoria Köln	2:2 ✺
12.09.22	Verl - Meppen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTT
- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
16.10.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Duisburg	2:0 ✺
10.10.22	Hallescher - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Borussia Dortmund II - 1860 München	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.09.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Go Ahead Eagles	2:4 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
17.09.22	Zwickau - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
16.04.22	Meppen - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1
06.11.21	Borussia Dortmund II - Meppen	0:1
Club Friendly
10.07.19	Meppen - Borussia Dortmund II	1:3

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