Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 27

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday

Location: Hansch-Arena (Meppen)

Referee: Speckner M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Meppen		Verl

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	2.05
	3.25	3.5	2.1
	3.4	3.4	2
	3.25	3.5	2.05
	3.38	3.62	2.16
	3.1	3.3	2.05
	3.22	3.62	2.05	Watch
	3.15	3.4	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.6)	3.49 ↑ (3.35)	2.06 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meppen
28.6%

Draw
26.5%

Verl
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

26.8%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meppen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Meppen's form might have worsened.

Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Verl's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meppen than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Meppen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Verl, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	27.8%	44.4%

Meppen - Verl Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Meppen will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Verl will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Verl: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Verl could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Meppen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Meppen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Meppen
German 3 Bundesliga
11.03.23	Elversberg - Meppen	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Meppen - Hallescher	2:3 ✺
25.02.23	Duisburg - Meppen	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Meppen	3:1 ✺
11.02.23	Meppen - 1860 München	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TLTLW
- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
10.03.23	Verl - Hallescher	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Zwickau - Verl	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Verl - Oldenburg	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	1860 München - Verl	0:3 ✺
11.02.23	Verl - Dynamo Dresden	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
12.09.22	Verl - Meppen	2:2
26.01.22	Verl - Meppen	0:1
21.08.21	Meppen - Verl	2:0
30.01.21	Verl - Meppen	3:1
03.10.20	Meppen - Verl	1:2

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