Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 25

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Location: GGZ-Arena Zwickau (Zwickau)

Referee: Hildenbrand M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Zwickau		Verl

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.25
	2.75	3.4	2.4
	2.75	3.2	2.43
	2.8	3.4	2.35
	2.95	3.57	2.41
	2.7	3.2	2.35
	2.78	3.54	2.31	Watch
	2.75	3.35	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.59)	3.4 ↓ (3.43)	2.35 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwickau
33.3%

Draw
27.3%

Verl
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.2%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

29.9%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zwickau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Verl, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	50%	30%

Zwickau - Verl Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Zwickau will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Verl will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zwickau won 1.

Zwickau is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Verl is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Zwickau won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Zwickau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
25.02.23	Bayreuth - Zwickau	5:3 ✺
18.02.23	Zwickau - Elversberg	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Duisburg - Zwickau	4:0 ✺
04.02.23	Zwickau - Meppen	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Hallescher - Zwickau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTW
- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
25.02.23	Verl - Oldenburg	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	1860 München - Verl	0:3 ✺
11.02.23	Verl - Dynamo Dresden	2:3 ✺
06.02.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Verl	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Verl - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
27.08.22	Verl - Zwickau	3:0
29.03.22	Verl - Zwickau	0:0
11.09.21	Zwickau - Verl	1:3
05.03.21	Zwickau - Verl	3:0
19.01.21	Verl - Zwickau	1:1

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