Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 24

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)

Referee: Hanslbauer P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Verl		Oldenburg

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	4.2
	1.75	3.7	4.33
	1.8	3.65	3.9
	1.77	4.11	4.39
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.77	3.78	4.1	Watch
	1.76	3.55	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.02)	3.68 ↑ (3.45)	4.16 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verl
52.6%

Draw
25.1%

Oldenburg
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

26.4%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

25.8%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Verl's performance.

Oldenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oldenburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Verl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oldenburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Verl - Oldenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Verl will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Oldenburg will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Verl: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Verl is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oldenburg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Verl is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Verl won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Verl won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
19.02.23	1860 München - Verl	0:3 ✺
11.02.23	Verl - Dynamo Dresden	2:3 ✺
06.02.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Verl	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Verl - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
21.01.23	Verl - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLTWT
- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
20.02.23	Oldenburg - Hallescher	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Elversberg - Oldenburg	3:0 ✺
05.02.23	Oldenburg - 1860 München	2:2 ✺
28.01.23	Meppen - Oldenburg	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Oldenburg - Dynamo Dresden	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
21.08.22	Oldenburg - Verl	1:0
Club Friendly
15.07.18	Oldenburg - Verl	1:2
10.07.16	Oldenburg - Verl	0:3
26.01.14	Verl - Oldenburg	4:1

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