Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 26

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Mikheil Meskhi Stadium (Tbilisi)


	Lokomotivi Tbilisi		Spaeri

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.3	2.42
	2.52	3.39	2.42
	2.68	3.06	2.59	Watch
	2.62	3.2	2.41
	3.14	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3.14)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	2.37 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotivi Tbilisi
33.6%

Draw
28.1%

Spaeri
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

27.6%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

27.2%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotivi Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotivi Tbilisi's performance.

Spaeri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spaeri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotivi Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spaeri than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spaeri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Spaeri Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Spaeri (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spaeri (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Asanidze S. (G) 16. Shashiashvili S. 4. Bukia D. 24. Karimov M. 22. Khositashvili V. 10. Kekelidze L. (C) 6. Chileshe F. 21. Kvelashvili N. 9. Menteshashvili L. 14. Amoako D. 19. Kokhreidze L.	1. Putkaradze B. (G) 22. Chagunava N. 20. Kentchadze N. (C) 4. Grigalashvili G. 14. Samkharadze G. 8. Maisuradze S. 17. Tsurtsumia G. 12. Barabadze L. 24. Golubiani Z. 7. Gegiadze S. 30. Basilashvili Z.
Substitutes
38. Assaye D. 32. Gogatishvili G. 15. Gogokhia N. 34. Gogoli D. 11. Kalandadze L. 13. Metreveli L. 3. Molashvili T. 1. Nanava L. (G) 20. Todua G.	23. Chomakhidze N. (G) 6. Chotalishvili T. 3. Kachibaia L. 10. Kobakhidze L. 40. Mathenjwa S. 2. Pirtakhia G. 18. Poniava P. 5. Tsalughelashvili T. 11. Tsetskhladze G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Basilashvili Z. ⚽,
25', Maisuradze S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kvelashvili N. ↓, Kalandadze L. ↑,
46', Shashiashvili S. ↓, Molashvili T. ↑,
54', 0 - 2, Kentchadze N. ⚽,
61', Maisuradze S. ↓, Mathenjwa S. ↑,
63', Amoako D. ↓, Metreveli L. ↑,
63', Menteshashvili L. ↓, Assaye D. ↑,
70', Golubiani Z. ↓, Kobakhidze L. ↑,
70', Basilashvili Z. ↓, Poniava P. ↑,
71', Kobakhidze L. 🟨,
77', 0 - 3, Kobakhidze L. ⚽, Poniava P. (A),
79', Chileshe F. ↓, Todua G. ↑,
84', Kentchadze N. ↓, Kachibaia L. ↑,
84', Barabadze L. ↓, Tsalughelashvili T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotivi won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Spaeri will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lokomotivi won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotivi won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
27.09.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Iberia 1999 2	1:1 ✺
Georgian Cup
23.09.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Dinamo Batumi	0:3 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
19.09.25	Sioni Bolnisi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	3:5 ✺
15.09.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Rustavi	3:2 ✺
11.09.25	Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWWL
- Spaeri FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
27.09.25	Spaeri - Sioni Bolnisi	1:0 ✺
Georgian Cup
23.09.25	Spaeri - Dila Gori	1:2 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
19.09.25	Rustavi - Spaeri	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Spaeri - Samtredia	1:1 ✺
11.09.25	Merani Martvili - Spaeri	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
04.08.25	Spaeri - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	3:1
24.04.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Spaeri	1:1
05.10.24	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Spaeri	1:1
10.08.24	Spaeri - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	0:5
01.05.24	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Spaeri	1:0
05.03.24	Spaeri - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:1
27.10.23	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Spaeri	1:1

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