Match Info

GEORGIA: CRYSTALBET EROVNULI LIGA 2 - ROUND 32

Date: 3 November 2023, Friday


	Merani Martvili		WIT Georgia

	1	X	2
	2.67	3.76	2.12
	2.73	4	2.12
	2.2	4.4	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (1.81)	4.05 ↓ (4.07)	2.21 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merani Martvili
36.1%

Draw
22.5%

WIT Georgia
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

21.9%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

22.4%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merani Martvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Merani Martvili's form might have worsened.

WIT Georgia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting WIT Georgia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merani Martvili than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merani Martvili, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for WIT Georgia than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for WIT Georgia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Rnic M. (G) 32. Dagargulia M. 3. Felipe Siedekum 17. Juric D. 34. Todua D. 19. Nadareishvili G. 30. Gagity R. 4. Elbakidze L. 21. Kitia N. 33. Laghadze B. (C) 10. Esonkulov J.	12. Iobashvili D. (G) 2. Kereleishvili Z. 4. Svianadze S. 5. Samadashvili G. 22. Chagunava N. 28. Kupreishvili D. 8. Kardava D. 20. Dvalishvili S. 21. Tchavtchanidze Z. (C) 7. Makharoblidze G. 11. Dzagania A.
Substitutes
22. Archaia L. 9. Baghishvili N. 13. Bendeliani G. (G) 2. Gegetchkori G. 12. Khorava D. 40. Lasha G. 8. Lezhava G.	24. Berozashvili L. 27. Chotalishvili T. 29. Gugberidze B. 25. Kapanadze A. (G) 26. Ketselashvili N. 13. Zghenti L.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Merani Martvili won 2.

Merani Martvili is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches WIT Georgia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Merani Martvili have a series of guest games.

Merani Martvili will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Merani Martvili won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Merani Martvili won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merani Martvili
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
27.10.23	Gareji Sagarejo - Merani Martvili	6:1 ✺
20.10.23	Merani Martvili - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:2 ✺
06.10.23	Spaeri - Merani Martvili	6:3 ✺
29.09.23	Kolkheti Khobi - Merani Martvili	0:0 ✺
22.09.23	Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Merani Martvili	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLTL
- WIT Georgia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
27.10.23	WIT Georgia - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	0:0 ✺
20.10.23	Sioni Bolnisi - WIT Georgia	1:2 ✺
06.10.23	WIT Georgia - Merani Tbilisi	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Kolkheti Poti - WIT Georgia	1:0 ✺
22.09.23	WIT Georgia - Kolkheti Khobi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
23.08.23	WIT Georgia - Merani Martvili	2:0
19.05.23	Merani Martvili - WIT Georgia	1:0
31.03.23	WIT Georgia - Merani Martvili	1:1
02.12.22	Merani Martvili - WIT Georgia	4:2
09.10.22	WIT Georgia - Merani Martvili	5:3
28.05.22	Merani Martvili - WIT Georgia	2:2
01.04.22	WIT Georgia - Merani Martvili	1:2

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