Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 15

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday


	Merani Tbilisi		Orbi

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.45	3.30
	2.15	3.26	3.06	Watch
	1.95	3.10	3.30
	1.95	3.38	3.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.25)	3.3 ↓ (3.5)	3.27 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merani Tbilisi
45.1%

Draw
27.3%

Orbi
27.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.9%

25.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

24.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merani Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Merani Tbilisi's performance.

Orbi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orbi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merani Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orbi than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orbi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Merani Tbilisi - Orbi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Bokuchava N. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, Ugrekhelidze L. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 5)

Merani Tbilisi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Orbi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merani Tbilisi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Including home match between the teams, Merani Tbilisi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Merani Tbilisi	24	12	7	5	41:30	11	43
7	Orbi	24	10	5	9	39:29	10	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merani Tbilisi
Georgian Liga 3
14.06.26	WIT Georgia - Merani Tbilisi	0:1 ✺
28.05.26	Merani Tbilisi - Tbilisi 2025	0:2 ✺
14.05.26	Merani Tbilisi - Gonio	1:1 ✺
07.05.26	Iberia 1999 2 - Merani Tbilisi	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Merani Tbilisi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLTLW
- FC Orbi Tbilisi
Georgian Liga 3
15.06.26	Orbi - Didube	1:3 ✺
28.05.26	Orbi - Guria Lanchkhuti	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	WIT Georgia - Orbi	0:1 ✺
14.05.26	Orbi - Tbilisi 2025	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Orbi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Liga 3
03.06.25	Merani Tbilisi - Orbi	4:3

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