Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 21

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Mercadal		Rotlet Molinar

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.8
	1.65	3.5	4.45
	1.64	3.93	4.56
	1.64	3.89	4.56
	1.62	3.5	4.75
	1.58	3.7	5.03
	1.92	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.04)	3.5 ↑ (3.03)	4.45 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercadal
53.4%

Draw
26%

Rotlet Molinar
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

29.8%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

29.3%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mercadal's performance.

Rotlet Molinar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rotlet Molinar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mercadal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotlet Molinar than the current prediction. (+5%)

Mercadal - Rotlet Molinar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Rotlet Molinar (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rotlet Molinar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Mercadal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rotlet Molinar's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rotlet Molinar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mercadal could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Mercadal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Mercadal	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
08.03.26	Mercadal - Binissalem	0:0 ✺
04.03.26	Collerense - Mercadal	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Felanitx - Mercadal	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Mercadal - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Mercadal - Santanyí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLTLW
- UD Rotlet Molinar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
07.03.26	Inter Ibiza - Rotlet Molinar	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Rotlet Molinar - Llosetense	1:4 ✺
22.02.26	Cardassar - Rotlet Molinar	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Rotlet Molinar - Manacor	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Rotlet Molinar - Binissalem	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
27.09.25	Rotlet Molinar - Mercadal	0:0
06.01.22	Mercadal - Rotlet Molinar	2:2

Mercadal - Rotlet Molinar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide