Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 25Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday
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Mercadal |
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Binissalem |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.98 |
2.72 |
4.25 |
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1.9 |
2.92 |
4.64 |
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1.9 |
2.92 |
4.58 |
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1.91 |
2.7 |
4.6 |
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1.89 |
2.82 |
4.62 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.92 ↓ (2.09) |
2.82 ↑ (2.81) |
4.54 ↑ (3.69) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mercadal 47.6% | Draw 32.4% | Binissalem 20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Binissalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binissalem than the current prediction. (+3.8%)Mercadal - Binissalem Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Binissalem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Mercadal is a strong favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Mercadal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Mercadal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
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| 14 | Binissalem | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 | | | 26.10.25 | Binissalem - Mercadal | 0:1 | | 19.10.24 | Binissalem - Mercadal | 2:0 | | 03.02.24 | Mercadal - Binissalem | 2:1 | | 17.09.23 | Binissalem - Mercadal | 2:0 | | 15.04.23 | Binissalem - Mercadal | 2:1 | | 17.12.22 | Mercadal - Binissalem | 0:1 | | 14.04.22 | Mercadal - Binissalem | 3:1 |
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