Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday


	Mercedes		General Lamadrid

	1	X	2
	5	3.25	1.63
	5.2	3.35	1.63
	5.08	3.25	1.64
	5.42	3.41	1.64	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2
	5.38	3.42	1.61
	5.2	3.35	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↑ (3.37)	3.33 ↑ (3.28)	1.68 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercedes
18.5%

Draw
27.4%

General Lamadrid
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

27.8%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

27.1%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mercedes's form might have worsened.

General Lamadrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting General Lamadrid's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mercedes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for General Lamadrid than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for General Lamadrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mercedes - General Lamadrid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Campostrini C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
84', 0 - 2, Lynch I. ⚽,
90', 0 - 3, Guzman L. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 3).

Mercedes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

General Lamadrid is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mercedes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

General Lamadrid will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mercedes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
16.09.24	Ituzaingó - Mercedes	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Mercedes - El Porvenir	1:0 ✺
03.09.24	Mercedes - Sportivo Barracas	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Berazategui - Mercedes	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Mercedes - Deportivo Yupanqui	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLT
- General Lamadrid
Argentinian Primera C
14.09.24	General Lamadrid - Deportivo Muñiz	4:1 ✺
06.09.24	Ituzaingó - General Lamadrid	1:2 ✺
02.09.24	General Lamadrid - El Porvenir	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Club Luján - General Lamadrid	1:3 ✺
19.08.24	General Lamadrid - Sportivo Barracas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
21.04.24	General Lamadrid - Mercedes	1:0

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