Match Info

Primera C - Round 21

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Berazategui		Mercedes

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.00	4.20
	1.7	3.15	4.85
	1.83	3.02	4.38
	1.81	3.11	4.54	Watch
	1.79	2.95	4.30
	1.7	3.18	5.05
	1.80	3.00	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.61)	3.06 ↓ (3.45)	4.52 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Berazategui
50.7%

Draw
29.4%

Mercedes
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.9%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berazategui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berazategui than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Berazategui, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Berazategui - Mercedes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Berazategui will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Berazategui (1.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Berazategui (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Mercedes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Berazategui is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Berazategui won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 2.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Berazategui won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Berazategui
Argentinian Primera C
11.07.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Berazategui	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Berazategui - Puerto Nuevo	0:2 ✺
28.06.26	Leandro N. Alem - Berazategui	1:1 ✺
15.06.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Berazategui	0:1 ✺
08.06.26	Berazategui - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTWW
- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
18.07.26	Mercedes - El Porvenir	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Mercedes - Victoriano Arenas	1:1 ✺
06.07.26	Centro Español - Mercedes	0:3 ✺
27.06.26	Mercedes - Justo José de Urquiza	5:0 ✺
14.06.26	Lugano - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
28.03.26	Mercedes - Berazategui	0:2
08.08.25	Mercedes - Berazategui	1:3
27.04.25	Berazategui - Mercedes	3:1
24.08.24	Berazategui - Mercedes	2:0
27.03.24	Mercedes - Berazategui	2:3

Upcoming Matches