Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday


	Mercedes		Sportivo Barracas

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.75	3.1
	2.25	2.75	3.4
	2.22	2.86	3.49
	2.29	2.73	3.52	Watch
	2.4	2.75	3.25
	2.21	2.82	3.45
	2.25	2.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.17)	2.77 ↓ (3.07)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercedes
40.2%

Draw
32.8%

Sportivo Barracas
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30.1%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.1%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Sportivo Barracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Barracas than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Mercedes - Sportivo Barracas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Martinez S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 2, Lojda Dekimpe G. ⚽,

Last Results with these Odds

Sportivo Barracas - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.22%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
24.08.24	Berazategui - Mercedes	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Mercedes - Deportivo Yupanqui	0:0 ✺
13.08.24	Justo José de Urquiza - Mercedes	2:1 ✺
10.08.24	Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:1 ✺
03.08.24	Real Pilar - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLWL
- Sportivo Barracas
Argentinian Primera C
26.08.24	Sportivo Barracas - Deportivo Muñiz	0:1 ✺
19.08.24	General Lamadrid - Sportivo Barracas	0:1 ✺
13.08.24	Sportivo Barracas - Ituzaingó	1:1 ✺
09.08.24	El Porvenir - Sportivo Barracas	1:0 ✺
04.08.24	Sportivo Barracas - Club Luján	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
01.04.24	Sportivo Barracas - Mercedes	1:1
Argentinian Primera D
03.10.23	Sportivo Barracas - Mercedes	1:1
24.06.23	Mercedes - Sportivo Barracas	0:0
22.04.23	Mercedes - Sportivo Barracas	2:1
24.09.22	Mercedes - Sportivo Barracas	2:1
11.07.22	Sportivo Barracas - Mercedes	3:0

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