Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday


	Merelinense		Montalegre

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.33
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.74	3.3	4.3
	1.78	3.44	4.42
	1.74	3.5	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.76)	3.39 ↑ (3.37)	4.29 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merelinense
51.9%

Draw
26.9%

Montalegre
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.8%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

17.8%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merelinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Montalegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merelinense than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Merelinense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montalegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Merelinense is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Merelinense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Merelinense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merelinense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.05.21	São Martinho - Merelinense	0:1 ✺
02.05.21	Merelinense - Felgueiras	0:1 ✺
23.04.21	Montalegre - Merelinense	0:2 ✺
11.04.21	Merelinense - Mirandela	0:0 ✺
03.04.21	Vilaverdense - Merelinense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWTW
- CDC Montalegre
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.05.21	Felgueiras - Montalegre	0:0 ✺
02.05.21	Montalegre - São Martinho	2:0 ✺
23.04.21	Montalegre - Merelinense	0:2 ✺
11.04.21	Vidago - Montalegre	1:2 ✺
03.04.21	Montalegre - Braga B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.04.21	Montalegre - Merelinense	0:2
07.02.21	Merelinense - Montalegre	1:0
08.03.20	Merelinense - Montalegre	1:1
02.12.18	Merelinense - Montalegre	1:2

Merelinense - Montalegre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide