Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 21

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Montalegre		Braga B

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	1.9
	3.6	3.6	1.8
	3.15	3.45	1.99
	3.88	3.81	1.9
	3.98	3.74	1.76	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.54)	3.58 ↑ (3.26)	1.89 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montalegre
26.1%

Draw
25.5%

Braga B
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

28.7%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montalegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montalegre's form might have worsened.

Braga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Braga B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montalegre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braga B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Montalegre is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montalegre won 2.

Montalegre has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Braga B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Montalegre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Montalegre won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Montalegre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDC Montalegre
Portuguese Liga 3
26.02.23	Paredes - Montalegre	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Montalegre - Canelas	2:2 ✺
12.02.23	Vilaverdense - Montalegre	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Montalegre - Varzim	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	São João de Ver - Montalegre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
25.02.23	Braga B - Sanjoanense	1:1 ✺
17.02.23	Felgueiras - Braga B	1:3 ✺
12.02.23	Braga B - Anadia	4:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
08.02.23	Crystal Palace U21 - Braga B	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
04.02.23	Fafe - Braga B	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
26.11.22	Braga B - Montalegre	1:2
23.01.22	Montalegre - Braga B	1:1
16.10.21	Braga B - Montalegre	2:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.04.21	Montalegre - Braga B	3:1
03.01.21	Braga B - Montalegre	2:1
08.12.19	Braga B - Montalegre	1:1

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