Match Info

Date: 8 December 2021, Wednesday


	Vilaverdense		Merelinense

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.7	5.25
	1.53	3.45	5.25
	1.47	4	5.6
	1.53	4.06	6.16
	1.46	4.15	6.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.51)	3.87 ↑ (3.65)	5.69 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
60.5%

Draw
23.5%

Merelinense
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

24.5%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

15.1%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Merelinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-24.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilaverdense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merelinense than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merelinense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Vilaverdense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Merelinense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Merelinense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vilaverdense is a favorite.

Recent matches Merelinense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Last 6 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.11.21	Limianos - Vilaverdense	1:2 ✺
14.11.21	Vilaverdense - Câmara de Lobos	4:1 ✺
31.10.21	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Vilaverdense	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Vilaverdense - Camacha	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.21	Leixões - Vilaverdense	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWL
- Merelinense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.12.21	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Merelinense	2:3 ✺
28.11.21	Merelinense - Camacha	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Vianense - Merelinense	4:0 ✺
07.11.21	Merelinense - Marítimo B	1:2 ✺
31.10.21	Forjães - Merelinense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.08.21	Merelinense - Vilaverdense	1:3
03.04.21	Vilaverdense - Merelinense	1:2
03.01.21	Merelinense - Vilaverdense	1:0
03.02.19	Merelinense - Vilaverdense	2:0
26.08.18	Vilaverdense - Merelinense	2:2
11.12.16	Vilaverdense - Merelinense	1:1

Vilaverdense - Merelinense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide