Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Merstham		Brightlingsea Regent

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.9	4.1
	1.56	3.9	4.7
	1.6	4.25	4.92
	1.66	4	3.8
	1.56	4.2	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.69)	4.05 ↑ (4)	4.49 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merstham
57.1%

Draw
22.5%

Brightlingsea Regent
20.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.8%

22.7%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

15.2%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merstham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Brightlingsea Regent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merstham than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Merstham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brightlingsea Regent than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brightlingsea Regent could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Merstham - Brightlingsea Regent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Merstham is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Merstham won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Merstham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merstham
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.12.21	Carshalton Athletic - Merstham	3:1 ✺
04.12.21	Merstham - Horsham	1:3 ✺
30.11.21	Merstham - Bishops Stortford	2:2 ✺
27.11.21	Merstham - East Thurrock United	2:2 ✺
20.11.21	Enfield Town - Merstham	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTTL
- Brightlingsea Regent
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.12.21	Brightlingsea Regent - Worthing	0:3 ✺
04.12.21	Leatherhead - Brightlingsea Regent	0:2 ✺
27.11.21	Corinthian-Casuals - Brightlingsea Regent	0:0 ✺
16.11.21	Brightlingsea Regent - Bowers & Pitsea	2:3 ✺
13.11.21	Brightlingsea Regent - Horsham	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.08.21	Brightlingsea Regent - Merstham	2:0
17.08.19	Brightlingsea Regent - Merstham	0:0
09.02.19	Brightlingsea Regent - Merstham	1:1
25.08.18	Merstham - Brightlingsea Regent	1:0
24.02.18	Brightlingsea Regent - Merstham	1:3
16.09.17	Merstham - Brightlingsea Regent	3:3

Merstham - Brightlingsea Regent

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Merstham - Brightlingsea Regent Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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