Match Info

Date: 27 November 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Merstham		East Thurrock United

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	4.33
	1.68	3.7	4.1
	1.74	3.87	4.12
	1.61	3.75	4.33
	1.71	3.98	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)	3.8 ↑ (3.74)	4.2 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merstham
54.4%

Draw
23.9%

East Thurrock United
21.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

15.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merstham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

East Thurrock United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merstham than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Merstham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Thurrock United than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that East Thurrock United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Merstham - East Thurrock United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 19).

Recent matches Merstham is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

East Thurrock is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Merstham have a series of guest games.

Recently East Thurrock have a series of home games.

In this match Merstham is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Merstham won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Merstham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merstham
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.11.21	Enfield Town - Merstham	3:1 ✺
09.11.21	Merstham - Cray Wanderers	2:0 ✺
06.11.21	Hornchurch - Merstham	1:0 ✺
26.10.21	Worthing - Merstham	2:1 ✺
23.10.21	Leatherhead - Merstham	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLW
- East Thurrock United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.11.21	East Thurrock United - Corinthian-Casuals	1:1 ✺
09.11.21	East Thurrock United - Lewes	2:0 ✺
06.11.21	East Thurrock United - Leatherhead	0:1 ✺
26.10.21	Margate - East Thurrock United	2:0 ✺
23.10.21	East Thurrock United - Enfield Town	0:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.10.20	East Thurrock United - Merstham	2:2
24.08.19	Merstham - East Thurrock United	2:1
06.02.16	East Thurrock United - Merstham	1:2
03.10.15	Merstham - East Thurrock United	2:2

Merstham - East Thurrock United

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Merstham - East Thurrock United Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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