The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Merstham 54.4%
Draw 23.9%
East Thurrock United 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.3%
24.2%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
15.8%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merstham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
East Thurrock United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merstham than the current prediction. (-18.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Merstham that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Thurrock United than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that East Thurrock United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Merstham - East Thurrock United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 19).
Recent matches Merstham is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
East Thurrock is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Merstham have a series of guest games.
Recently East Thurrock have a series of home games.
In this match Merstham is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Merstham won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Merstham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.