Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Merstham		Horsham

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.8	2.45
	2.55	3.5	2.29
	2.69	3.58	2.42
	2.25	3.75	2.5
	2.66	3.62	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.31)	3.65 ↓ (3.74)	2.4 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merstham
36.9%

Draw
25%

Horsham
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

24.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

17.8%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merstham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merstham than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Merstham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Horsham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Merstham - Horsham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 14).

Recent matches Merstham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Horsham in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Horsham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Merstham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Merstham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merstham
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.11.21	Merstham - Bishops Stortford	2:2 ✺
27.11.21	Merstham - East Thurrock United	2:2 ✺
20.11.21	Enfield Town - Merstham	3:1 ✺
09.11.21	Merstham - Cray Wanderers	2:0 ✺
06.11.21	Hornchurch - Merstham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLWL
- Horsham FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.11.21	Horsham - Wingate & Finchley	2:0 ✺
27.11.21	Horsham - Margate	2:1 ✺
22.11.21	Carshalton Athletic - Horsham	0:1 ✺
20.11.21	Leatherhead - Horsham	1:3 ✺
13.11.21	Brightlingsea Regent - Horsham	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.08.21	Horsham - Merstham	3:0
18.01.20	Merstham - Horsham	1:0
19.10.19	Horsham - Merstham	4:0

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