Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 18

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium (Tafresh)


	Mes Rafsanjan		Zob Ahan

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.65
	2.58	3	2.68
	2.47	2.95	2.65
	2.63	3.10	2.68	Watch
	2.53	2.97	2.64	Watch
	2.5	3	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.63)	3 ↓ (3.1)	2.66 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Rafsanjan
35.6%

Draw
30.2%

Zob Ahan
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

30%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

29%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Rafsanjan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Zob Ahan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zob Ahan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Mes Rafsanjan - Zob Ahan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zob Ahan will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Mirzazad N. (G) 34. Fakhreddini M. 4. Salimi I. 21. Jahanbakhsh D. . Lee Ki-Je 50. Heydarieh V. 6. Zendehrouh A. 88. Mehri S. 23. Arab F. 18. Ramezani A. 8. Komar N.	20. Noushi Soufiani D. (G) 23. Jeddi A. 6. Mohammadi N. 4. Ghaderi A. 28. Entezari N. 71. Mortazavi A. 17. Jalaleddin A. 21. Khalidi M. 19. Ghazipour P. 11. Kazemi A. 70. Latifi O.
Substitutes
14. Abbasi M. 66. Afkham A. 24. Choubdari H. . Golmahmadi S. . Jabireh R. 10. Nariman S. 5. Nasiri M. 1. Parsa P. (G) 15. Ranjbar A. 70. Taherkhani H.	49. Baghban H. 3. Ghahremani E. 2. Hosseinifar A. 30. Islami A. 79. Khaghani S. 14. Mokhtari P. 10. Pahlevan E. 22. Rashedi A. (G) 88. Shoushtari H. 57. Taherkhani S. 24. Teymourian B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Mehri S. 🟨,
44', Nasiri M. 🟨,
45+5', Kazemi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Arab F. ↓, Jabireh R. ↑,
60', Latifi O. ↓, Khaghani S. ↑,
60', Ali Khalidi M. ↓, Baghban H. ↑,
64', Nasiri M. ↓, Abbasi M. ↑,
66', Entezari N. ↓, Shoushtari H. ↑,
76', Mohammadi N. 🟨,
78', Abbasi M. 🟨,
79', Ramezani A. ↓, Taherkhani H. ↑,
79', Komar N. ↓, Ranjbar A. ↑,
79', Mehri S. ↓, Choubdari H. ↑,
83', Mortazavi A. ↓, Pahlevan E. ↑,
83', Kazemi A. ↓, Mokhtari P. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mes Rafsanjan won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mes Rafsanjan won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mes Rafsanjan won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Zob Ahan	6	1	3	2	3:5	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Zob Ahan - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.68%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Pro League
22.01.26	Tractor Sazi - Mes Rafsanjan	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Persepolis	0:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
20.12.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:1 penalties ✺
Iran Pro League
15.12.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL
- Zob Ahan
Iran Pro League
23.01.26	Zob Ahan - Esteghlal	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Paykan - Zob Ahan	2:0 ✺
25.12.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Zob Ahan	2:0 ✺
17.12.25	Zob Ahan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
09.12.25	Zob Ahan - Tractor Sazi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
13.09.25	Zob Ahan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0
08.05.25	Zob Ahan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:1
27.12.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Zob Ahan	1:2
17.03.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Zob Ahan	2:2
21.10.23	Zob Ahan - Mes Rafsanjan	1:2
02.02.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Zob Ahan	0:0
Iran Hazfi Cup
11.01.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Zob Ahan	1:0

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