Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 21

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iran	Taban TV


	Paykan		Mes Rafsanjan

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	5.3
	1.68	3.29	5.90	Watch
	1.68	3.42	5.5	Watch
	1.66	3.25	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.55)	3.32 ↑ (3.27)	5.43 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paykan
55.2%

Draw
27.8%

Mes Rafsanjan
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

27.3%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

25%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paykan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Mes Rafsanjan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paykan than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paykan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Paykan - Mes Rafsanjan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Esfandiari E. (G) 18. Madadizadeh A. 14. Tavakoli S. 40. Gerami F. 73. Azadmanesh A. 23. Azarpad M. 8. Najafi M. 11. Amiri F. . Arabi A. A. 80. Sadeghi A. 9. Emamali F.	1. Parsa P. (G) 34. Fakhreddini M. 4. Salimi I. 5. Nasiri M. 50. Heydarieh V. 8. Komar N. 10. Nariman S. 6. Zendehrouh A. 33. Lee Ki-Je 69. Jabireh R. 18. Ramezani A.
Substitutes
13. Abbasi A. (G) 83. Ahmadi H. 27. Ali Faramarzi M. 16. Alimoradi A. 5. Bagheri M. 2. Gholami A. H. . Hadian E. 10. Jafari S. 77. Jamshidi E. 70. Karami I.	48. Abbasi M. 66. Afkham A. 15. Akbari Ranjbar M. . Ashkovski S. 30. Ghaffari S. . Harandi M. 21. Jahanbakhsh D. 88. Mehri S. 44. Mirzazad N. (G) 70. Taherkhani H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Jabireh R. ⚽, Komar N. (A),
6', Amiri F. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, Nariman S. ⚽,
65', Azarpad M. ↓, Karami I. ↑,
80', Ahmadi H. 🟨,
80', 🟨,
80', Fakhreddini M. 🟨,
80', 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paykan won 0.

In recent matches, Paykan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mes Rafsanjan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Paykan is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Paykan won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Paykan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Paykan	7	2	2	3	5:6	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paykan
Iran Pro League
08.02.26	Chadormalou Ardakan - Paykan	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Paykan - Esteghlal	1:0 ✺
28.01.26	Paykan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Paykan	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Paykan - Zob Ahan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWLTW
- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Pro League
07.02.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Shams Azar Qazvin - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Zob Ahan	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Tractor Sazi - Mes Rafsanjan	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
03.10.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Paykan	2:0
Iran Hazfi Cup
25.04.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Paykan	2:1 penalties
Iran Pro League
12.04.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Paykan	2:2
28.10.23	Paykan - Mes Rafsanjan	0:1
18.05.23	Paykan - Mes Rafsanjan	1:1
05.01.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Paykan	2:0
30.05.22	Paykan - Mes Rafsanjan	1:1

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