Match Info

UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 14 November 2022, Monday

Referee: Kovalenko A. (Ukr)


	Metalist Kharkiv		Kryvbas

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.7
	2.55	3	2.7
	2.49	3.1	2.6
	2.66	3.25	2.78
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.49	3.24	2.69	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (1.92)	3.14 ↓ (3.64)	2.69 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalist Kharkiv
36.3%

Draw
29.4%

Kryvbas
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

25.6%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metalist Kharkiv's form might have worsened.

Kryvbas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kryvbas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metalist Kharkiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kryvbas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	25%	31.2%

Metalist Kharkiv - Kryvbas Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Metalist will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Kryvbas will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metalist: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Metalist won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Metalist won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
08.11.22	Metalist Kharkiv - Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
05.11.22	Zorya Luhansk - Metalist Kharkiv	3:2 ✺
30.10.22	Lviv - Metalist Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Metalist Kharkiv - Dnipro-1	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Metalist Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTLW
- FC Kryvbas
Ukrainian Premier League
09.11.22	Kryvbas - Vorskla Poltava	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Rukh Lviv - Kryvbas	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Dynamo Kyiv - Kryvbas	3:1 ✺
24.10.22	Kryvbas - Inhulets	2:1 ✺
18.10.22	Oleksandriya - Kryvbas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
26.09.21	Kryvbas - Metalist Kharkiv	0:5
Ukrainian Premier League
31.03.13	Kryvbas - Metalist Kharkiv	1:1
26.08.12	Metalist Kharkiv - Kryvbas	3:1
01.04.12	Metalist Kharkiv - Kryvbas	1:1

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