Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Avanhard Stadium (Uzhorod)

Referee: Aranovskiy E. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Unian TV


	Metalist Kharkiv		Dnipro-1

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.46
	5.8	4.1	1.46
	6.2	4.4	1.38
	7.19	4.81	1.42
	7	4.2	1.4
	6.55	4.65	1.4	Watch
	6.6	4.6	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.55 ↑ (4.4)	4.44 ↑ (4.2)	1.41 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalist Kharkiv
14.1%

Draw
20.7%

Dnipro-1
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

22.7%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

22.2%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metalist Kharkiv's form might have worsened.

Dnipro-1 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dnipro-1's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metalist Kharkiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dnipro-1, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Metalist Kharkiv - Dnipro 1 Predictions

Users Predictions: Dnipro-1 will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

No spectators.

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification)).

Recent matches Metalist is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dnipro-1 is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dnipro-1 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dnipro-1 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
15.10.22	Metalist Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	3:2 ✺
07.10.22	Veres Rivne - Metalist Kharkiv	1:2 ✺
01.10.22	Metalist Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:6 ✺
11.09.22	Kolos Kovalivka - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
05.09.22	Oleksandriya - Metalist Kharkiv	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWLLW
- FC Dnipro-1
Ukrainian Premier League
19.10.22	Dnipro-1 - Inhulets	2:2 ✺
16.10.22	Rukh Lviv - Dnipro-1	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.10.22	Vaduz - Dnipro-1	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
09.10.22	Dnipro-1 - Zorya Luhansk	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.10.22	Dnipro-1 - Vaduz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWWT

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