Match Info

UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho (Kiev)

Referee: Blavatsky R. (Ukr)


	Zorya Luhansk		Metalist Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	1.68	4	4.4
	1.63	3.8	4.5
	1.67	3.85	3.95
	1.68	4.18	4.63
	1.65	3.75	4.33
	1.65	4	4.45	Watch
	1.62	4.2	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.87)	3.97 ↑ (3.9)	4.38 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zorya Luhansk
55.7%

Draw
23.2%

Metalist Kharkiv
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zorya Luhansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	11.5%	11.5%

Zorya Luhansk - Metalist Kharkiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Zorya will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Metalist will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zorya: 60.7% – 93.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification) and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zorya won 1.

Zorya is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Metalist is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zorya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zorya have a series of guest games.

In this match Zorya is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Zorya won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Zorya won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League
28.10.22	Kharkiv - Zorya Luhansk	0:3 ✺
23.10.22	Veres Rivne - Zorya Luhansk	0:1 ✺
18.10.22	Chornomorets Odesa - Zorya Luhansk	0:4 ✺
09.10.22	Dnipro-1 - Zorya Luhansk	3:0 ✺
02.10.22	Zorya Luhansk - Kryvbas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLT
- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
30.10.22	Lviv - Metalist Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Metalist Kharkiv - Dnipro-1	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Metalist Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	3:2 ✺
07.10.22	Veres Rivne - Metalist Kharkiv	1:2 ✺
01.10.22	Metalist Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
22.11.15	Metalist Kharkiv - Zorya Luhansk	0:1
25.07.15	Zorya Luhansk - Metalist Kharkiv	0:0
30.11.14	Metalist Kharkiv - Zorya Luhansk	4:2
27.07.14	Zorya Luhansk - Metalist Kharkiv	1:2
17.04.14	Metalist Kharkiv - Zorya Luhansk	1:1
03.08.13	Zorya Luhansk - Metalist Kharkiv	2:2
10.05.13	Zorya Luhansk - Metalist Kharkiv	1:3

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