Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 13

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: OSC Metalist (Kharkiv)


	Metalist Kharkiv		Vorskla Poltava

	1	X	2
	3	2.98	2.35
	2.90	3.17	2.31	Watch
	3.39	3.02	2.11
	2.83	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.98)	3.07 ↓ (3.15)	2.27 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalist Kharkiv
30.1%

Draw
29.7%

Vorskla Poltava
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.1%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

28.2%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The chances for Vorskla Poltava have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vorskla Poltava than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Metalist Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Rybak V. (C) 10. Bagachanskyi M. 8. Digtyar K. 19. Kaydalov D. 7. Lutsiv P. 9. Lutsiv V. 2. Mizyuk O. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 5. Pidruchnyi D. 6. Teplyakov D. 20. Vernattus D.	1. Lavuta K. (G) 20. Andrushchenko M. 11. Baydal A. 9. Burenko M. 14. Chibueze P. 2. Dmytruk T. 21. Dvorovenko V. 5. Prikhna D. (C) 17. Semotyuk V. 23. Shershen M. 7. Voytsekhovskyi V.
Substitutes
47. Andreev R. 21. Goryainov O. 39. Gryshchenko I. 27. Isaenko Y. 38. Palyanychka K. 35. Pletnyov P. (G) 30. Shapovalov I. 33. Sherstyuk Y. 40. Shevchenko M. 41. Smatko A. (G)	29. Chervak V. 77. Chidomere A. 97. Korablin T. 32. Romanenko D. 99. Serdyuk A. 8. Tatarkov M. 31. Vasetskyi B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Teplyakov D. ⚽,
34', Dmytruk T. ↓, Chervak V. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Semotyuk V. ↓, Tatarkov M. ↑,
46', Voytsekhovskyi V. ↓, Chidomere A. ↑,
46', Baydal A. ↓, Korablin T. ↑,
49', Dvorovenko V. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Chidomere A. ⚽,
68', Lutsiv V. ↓, Isaenko Y. ↑,
78', Bagachanskyi M. ↓, Palyanychka K. ↑,
83', Kaydalov D. ↓, Goryainov O. ↑,
86', Isaenko Y. 🟨,
90', Andrushchenko M. 🟨,
90+3', Chidomere A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metalist won 1.

Recent performances by Metalist have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vorskla is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Metalist won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Metalist won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
18.10.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Metalist Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Metalist Kharkiv	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLL
- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
18.10.25	Vorskla Poltava - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Vorskla Poltava	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Vorskla Poltava - Chernihiv	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Vorskla Poltava	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Vorskla Poltava - Viktoriya Sumy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
22.04.23	Vorskla Poltava - Metalist Kharkiv	3:2
15.10.22	Metalist Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	3:2
19.03.16	Metalist Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	0:3
29.08.15	Vorskla Poltava - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0
03.05.15	Metalist Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	0:2
18.10.14	Vorskla Poltava - Metalist Kharkiv	0:0
18.05.14	Metalist Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	1:0

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