Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Lviv (Lviv) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Paschal I. (Ukr)


	Metalist Kharkiv		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.8	1.37
	7	4.7	1.34
	7	4.4	1.35
	7.51	4.78	1.4
	7.5	4.33	1.35
	7.6	4.65	1.36	Watch
	7.4	4.7	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.36 ↓ (9)	4.62 ↓ (5.2)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalist Kharkiv
12.5%

Draw
19.9%

Shakhtar Donetsk
67.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

10.6%

18.3%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.4%

18%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalist Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Metalist Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Users Predictions: Shakhtar Donetsk will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

No spectators.

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metalist won 0.

Recent matches Metalist is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shakhtar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Metalist could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Metalist have a series of guest games.

In this match Shakhtar is indisputable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Metalist won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 8-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Metalist won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
11.09.22	Kolos Kovalivka - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
05.09.22	Oleksandriya - Metalist Kharkiv	1:3 ✺
29.08.22	Metalist Kharkiv - Inhulets	1:1 ✺
24.08.22	Rukh Lviv - Metalist Kharkiv	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.08.22	Deportivo A Coruña - Metalist Kharkiv	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWTWL
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Club Friendly
24.09.22	Radomiak Radom - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.09.22	Shakhtar Donetsk - Celtic	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
10.09.22	Shakhtar Donetsk - Chornomorets Odesa	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.09.22	RB Leipzig - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:4 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
02.09.22	Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
01.04.16	Shakhtar Donetsk - Metalist Kharkiv	8:1
11.09.15	Metalist Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:5
Ukrainian Cup
08.04.15	Shakhtar Donetsk - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0
Ukrainian Premier League
07.03.15	Metalist Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:2
Ukrainian Cup
04.03.15	Metalist Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2
Ukrainian Premier League
09.08.14	Shakhtar Donetsk - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0
30.03.14	Metalist Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:4

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
02.11.26	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Metalist Kharkiv	✺
Ukrainian Cup
28.10.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Metalist Kharkiv	✺
- Shakhtar Donetsk
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Sporting Lisbon	✺
Ukrainian Premier League
30.10.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Obolon	✺

Metalist Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk