The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shakhtar Donetsk 30.4%
Draw 26.5%
Celtic 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
26.6%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
28.6%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
51.8%
9.6%
38.6%
Shakhtar Donetsk - Celtic Predictions
Users Predictions:
114 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 59 - 51.8%). Celtic will win (votes: 44 - 38.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 9.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 42.6% โ 61%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Playing home matches at a different stadium.
Shakhtar has currently - 3, has a small chance of 1st (7%), has a chance of 2nd (27%), has a chance of 3rd (35%), has a chance of round of 16 (34%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Celtic has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (6%), has a chance of 2nd (33%), has a chance of 3rd (29%), has a chance of round of 16 (39%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality68, very big importance94, big match rating81. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Shakhtar in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Celtic is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Shakhtar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Celtic will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Shakhtar: Korniienko V.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Celtic: McCarthy J.
(Injury)
Starfelt C.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Shakhtar: Totovytsky A.
(Injury)
Africa
Australia
Bulgaria
Czech-republic
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Portugal
Romania
United-kingdom
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