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Current Win Probability
RB Leipzig 75%
Draw 15.6%
Shakhtar Donetsk 9.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
76.3%
15.1%
8.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.6%
11.2%
12.1%
RB Leipzig - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
107 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 82 - 76.6%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 13 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 11.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 68.6% โ 84.6%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
RB Leipzig has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (22%), has a chance of 2nd (32%), has a chance of 3rd (32%), has a good chance of round of 16 (54%), has a chance of qtrs (22%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Shakhtar has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (3%), has a small chance of 2nd (9%), has a chance of 3rd (22%), has a small chance of round of 16 (12%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality68, importance62, match rating65. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Shakhtar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Shakhtar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match RB Leipzig is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Klostermann L.
(Ankle Injury)
Olmo D.
(Knee Injury)
Poulsen Y.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Shakhtar: Korniienko V.
(Knee Injury)