Match Info

Super League - Round 2

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Surkhon (Termez)

Referee: Abduvohidov R. (Uzb)


	Surkhon Termez		Neftchi Fargona

	1	X	2
	5.7	3.45	1.52
	7.05	3.68	1.52
	4.72	3.25	1.76	Watch
	6	3.3	1.5
	6.86	3.59	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.07 ↑ (4.71)	3.45 ↑ (3.32)	1.57 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Surkhon Termez
15.1%

Draw
26.5%

Neftchi Fargona
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

27.5%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Surkhon Termez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftchi Fargona's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Surkhon Termez - Neftchi Fargona Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Surkhon will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Neftchi Fargona will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Surkhon (votes: 1 - 50%). Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Boymurodov O. (G) 26. Shukurullaev B. 3. Jumatov B. 27. Musaxonov M. 2. Karimov B. 21. Dzebniauri T. 14. Ashuboyev T. 10. Abdullazhonov S. 17. Abdukhamidov S. 11. Friday R. 9. Chinedu S.	1. Ergashev B. (G) 34. Sayfiev F. 4. Ciger B. 20. Gofurov A. 2. Pulatov I. 30. Fomin R. 23. Djokic J. 10. Iskanderov J. 14. Giyosov K. 18. Perica S. 11. Jumaev A.
Substitutes
31. Ergashev K. 77. Karimov A. 19. Kodirov F. 86. Merganov D. (G) 78. Omonov J. 38. Qaxxorov S. 33. Quvondigov U. 91. Temirxonov A. 55. Zokirov Y.	7. Ismoilov A. 8. Jovovic V. 32. Marusic Z. 22. Odilov A. 77. Ratinho . Tukhsanov D. 45. Turaev A. (G) 21. Ubaydullaev M. 6. Yuldoshev I.
Coaches
Kudryashov S.	Ismoilov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Perica S. ⚽,
45', Ashuboyev T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Giyosov K. ↓, Odilov A. ↑,
46', Jumaev A. ↓, Ismoilov A. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Perica S. ⚽,
60', Perica S. ↓, Marusic Z. ↑,
60', Pulatov I. ↓, Jovovic V. ↑,
64', Abdukhamidov S. ↓, Kodirov F. ↑,
71', Abdullazhonov S. ↓, Karimov A. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Djokic J. ⚽,
77', Fomin R. 🟨,
79', Djokic J. ↓, Yuldoshev I. ↑,
81', Ashuboyev T. ↓, Temirkhanov A. ↑,
81', Friday R. ↓, Quvondigov U. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 0.

Recent performances by Surkhon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Recently, Surkhon has had a series of away games.

In this match, Neftchi Fargona is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Surkhon won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Neftchi Fargona	23	16	4	3	52:19	33	52
12	Termez Surkhon	22	7	5	10	19:28	-9	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Surkhon Termez
Uzbek League
28.02.26	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Surkhon Termez	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.02.26	Rotor - Surkhon Termez	0:1 ✺
09.02.26	Sochi - Surkhon Termez	Canceled ✺
09.02.26	Surkhon Termez - Shinnik	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Leningradets - Surkhon Termez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LW?LW
- Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League
28.02.26	Neftchi Fargona - Mashal Mubarek	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.01.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Neftchi Fargona	5:0 ✺
Uzbek League
30.11.25	Xorazm Urganch - Neftchi Fargona	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Neftchi Fargona - Qizilqum	4:1 ✺
07.11.25	Buxoro - Neftchi Fargona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
02.11.25	Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez	2:1
15.06.25	Surkhon Termez - Neftchi Fargona	0:0
09.11.24	Surkhon Termez - Neftchi Fargona	0:0
15.06.24	Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez	1:1
22.10.23	Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez	1:1
07.05.23	Surkhon Termez - Neftchi Fargona	2:2
12.11.22	Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez	3:0

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